You can’t count at that table!”. The most useful feature is free optimal bet calculations for hundreds of millions of situations. Hit 12 vs 6 at -5 or lower. The true count in blackjack is simply your running count divided by the number of decks still in play. There are 2 kinds of deviations: Playing Deviations and Betting Deviations. Low cards, 2 though 6 are given the value of +1 and high cards such as 10s and aces are given Stand with 12 vs 2 at +3 or higher. An additional player edge of 7% is grossly high for surrender when counting. We designed the software that we wish we had to learn. Since most of the six decks remain, we divide the count by six. According to some of my research basic strategy is to DD 11 v A and there is no deviation from that no matter what the count. The Uston Advanced Plus-Minus Blackjack Card Counting System. probably less playing reasonable stakes. As a reminder, if the variance of one hand is v, the covariance is c, and the number of hands played at once is n, then the total variance is n×v + n× (n-1)×c. To convert to the True Count, you take your. Aces are not the best card to side count in HILO. The player’s hand is 15, the dealer’s upcard is an ace, and the true count is either +2 (in S17) or -1 (in H17) The player’s hand is 14, the dealer’s upcard is 19, and the true count amounts to +4; Conclusion. 1. I believe the 7 would be best. If no surrender, 16 hits vs 10. That means that 4/10 card counters who play this way will be kissing their bankroll goodbye. One example of a strategy deviation involves. Beat the house and shift the odds in your favor by learning and practicing Card Counting. In case you participate in a single-deck game, the potential profit, you could achieve by changing basic strategy plays based on the count with perfect play, could be 66%. #2. If you don’t end up at zero, then you did something wrong. On top of this, there’s a betting strategy, but that comes later. The table is only a rough approximation of actual card counting play. 💰Introducing the Blackjack and Card. Card counting may appear difficult at first, but it is actually quite simple. If you want to know how it all begins, here are the Expected Values of Any Starting Hand in Blackjack listed. However I'm looking for 8deck specific deviations for basic strategy. Mike finally fessed up. 10,10 v 5 = +10. More playing red chip or attempting to card count playing red chip, but 30. #1. 5 decks, dealer hits on soft 17, no hole card. They must be appreciated in context. Multi-level means that the count tag can be more than just -1, 0 & 1. This means that in a game with a 0. About this game. They have other -1 indices. Buy 8 decks of used cards in a gift shop (casino cards are usually a little ticker than typical playing cards) and practice at home until you're comfortable with it. Some players have attempted to simplify the Red 7 counting system by giving a value of +0. All software has been tested with Windows 7, 8, 10, and 11, Win98, WinME, WinNT, WinXP, WinXP SP2, Win2000, Win2003, Win2008, Win2012, and Vista. learn how to play basic strategy, in addition to counting, and deviations. There is an article in the blackjack section that indicates that a CSM, (Continuous Shuffling Machine), actually lowers the house advantage for the basic strategy player. 12 vs 3: +1. 22%. The Blackjack trainer will develop your playing acumen, and enable you to optimise your. 2) you track each 52 card slug of the remaining 6 decks are either + or -. Membership; Private Training; Bootcamp; Get Started. com 5 Double Deck Memo • The Effect of Card Removal is far more dramatic in Double Deck Blackjack games versus Six Deck Games. By now, about two decks of cards have depleted from the shoe. g. Our advice is to learn this chart, then move on to learning card counting and the blackjack deviations associated with the game you will be playing (H17 vs S17). Here's a couple things off the top of my head. 33% or higher chance to have a blackjack. BV-G is a practice app for Blackjack and Spanish 21 basic strategy and card counting designed to operate on both tablets and smartphones. Never split 5s and 10s. Two drills. So let's say you have a $10,000 bankroll and you're playing a H17 DAS RSA game. Keep a “Running Count” based off of the values of the card dealt; Step 3. Like I posted somewhere in the last day or two, I probably see 30 serious card counters a year, playing reasonable stakes. So for A7 against a 2 and an 11 against an ace would I double at zero or above for both of them or double just at anything above a 0 running count. To display the next card, hit the pile of cards on the right. . Keep a running count with each card the. The most common blackjack tricks include card counting, deviations, and true count conversions. With double-deck games, the bet spread should be increased to 1–6. Keep a “Running Count” based off of the values of the card dealt. Its hard to keep throwing money down when the counts high and youre losing hand after hand. Introduction. In theory you should never have a max bet because your current wager should be a percentage of your bankroll in correlation with your advantage. So, to learn a winning strategy you’re looking at a few months and a few hundred hours of practice to fully master it. The player’s hand is 15, the dealer’s upcard is an ace, and the true count is either +2 (in S17) or -1 (in H17) The player’s hand is 14, the dealer’s upcard is 19, and the true count amounts to +4; Conclusion. 16 stands vs. Seems like it could change the strategy for splitting also. I just finished perfecting my basic strategy, bed spread/deviations and card counting skills (I use Hi-Lo) and decided it's time to start using playing deviations. I just finished perfecting my basic strategy, bed spread/deviations and card counting skills (I use Hi-Lo) and decided it's time to start using playing deviations. [ Blackjack Training Drills] Blackjack Apprenticeship. While the Illustrious 18 are variations to the basic strategy for any blackjack game, the Fab Four are variations to. It is a no-no in blackjack to split 10's. ”. How We Help. Basic strategy is the first word when there is a playing deviation in a white space. I’d also make a basic strategy chart of your on and fill it out, do the same with deviations after that. At Blackjack Apprenticeship, former pros clear up the confusion and hype associated with counting cards. Learn how to count cards with these 4 simple steps: 1. For example, if aces are side counted in the Omega II count and properly used to adjust the true count it can improve the BC from 0. To display the previous card, click on the left pile. It is very good at being that reference. Dec 2, 2016. Card counting involves arithmetically adding the tags assignedto cards based on their effect of card removal. Knowing that many deviations will get you about 96+% of all the edge you can get from indices, depending, of course, on rules and spread. The game is played with 3 boxes and 6 standard decks of 52 cards. You must commit perfect basic strategy to memory before you even begin to think about learning to count. Insurance - always take insurance TC=> 3 16 vs A stand TC=> 3 16 vs 10 stand TC=> 0 16 vs 9 stand TC=> 5 15 vs 10 stand TC=>. With our drills you can build and assess your accuracy with basic strategy, deviations, running count, true count conversion, and even betting. Colin has been counting cards for over 15 years, and ran a multi-million dollar blackjack team. Arguably, it’s effective only in estimating the soundness of the “insurance” and “even money” side bets. Increase your bets when the count is running positive. For my first post here I wanted to get some feedback on a snag that I've been running into. To be a winning player takes 100% accuracy. We designed the software that we wish we had to learn. the movie "21" [3], which is a method of keeping a count of cards that are still in the deck while playing 21. The features of this app are designed to allow you to easily learn to keep the running count and convert it to the true count based on the number of decks remaining in the shoe. Card counting is the legal technique used by blackjack players to identify the instances when the odds can shift in the favor of the player. Understand the statistics and see the results of millions of hands of Blackjack played. 9 at a true count of 4 and above (Unless you can surrender). Assign a value to every card; Step 2. When teaching my girlfriend basic strategy i have found it sensible to explain the reason for each decision. You need to surrender, if your hand is 14, the dealer's upcard is 10 and your true count is +4. For a single-deck game with a bet spread of 1-4, the SD is 2. 2-4 weeks for betting deviations and deck estimation training. Our drills are designed by pros that have taken casinos for millions. Here is the chart I am looking at. As per the rules of the KO system, players need to assign the value of +1, 0, or -1 to each card that is dealt at the blackjack table. TIP: There is an comprehensive section on Blackjack Deviations in our Card Counting Training Course . This will clear the pile of cards on the right. 4. Blackjack Card Counting Trainer. The 5 is worth 1, so the count goes to plus 2. You write the following code to simulate the act of dealing an initial hand. Most of us also begin our journey at shoe games, where deviations aren't worth much anyway, so don't bother memorizing anything but the easiest ones. Ace at a true count of 3 and above. the movie "21" [3], which is a method of keeping a count of cards that are still in the deck while playing 21. I'm working on project to create a card-counting, blackjack-playing AI that I call RAIN MAN 2. #2. Take our FREE 5 video card counting mini-course by signing up below. Standing is favored over that with an expectation of -0. For example, if the count is high, you may take a riskier. Basically, the Illustrious 18 presents 18 alternative plays for specific. Colin’s Guide to Deck Estimation. How To Play Blackjack; How to Count Cards;. We designed the software that we wish we had to learn. In “Professional Blackjack” by Stanford Wong, Table A-1 (page 255), Wong gives these indices for single-deck blackjack (H17) using the Hi-Lo card counting system. Perfect blackjack strategy reduces the casino's edge by around 0. Here are two more betting quarters at the same game with a 1-10 spread: . #10. 10,10 v 6 = +4. #1. A blackjack deviation is any occurrence when the player adjusts their play to make a decision that is outside the realm of basic blackjack strategy. Deviations are situations where you deviate from basic strategy based on the count of the cards remaining in the deck. The 8 is worth 0, so the count stays at plus 1. Analysis and advice for experienced players who have mastered basic strategy, and are looking to add an extra edge to their game. While you can get the edge over casinos, it's slim. Don. It gives you the power of TKO minus having to ever TC. Card counting deviations provide experienced blackjack players with a powerful tool to increase their edge against the casino. 29. For example, if the count is high, you may take a riskier play because there is a higher chance of getting a favorable card. To start the game of Blackjack, players are dealt two cards at random from a shuffled deck. Aces count as -1, with 5s as +1. Norman is a former Strategy and Architecture Vice President for Citibank and has been a card counter for over 40 years. The High-Low count simply assigns a value to each card, the player then keeps a running count of what cards have been dealt. I'm Ready. That's it. favors the casino by about 12%. To be a winning player takes 100% accuracy. It allows us to test. Card 9: -1 Points. An experienced blackjack dealer lays out a very detailed guide on counting cards here. Thus, the "Illustrated 18. You should understand right from the beginning that the Hi-Opt II system is more complex than most counting methods. If you are playing KO-Preferred, the two running counts where you implement deviations for 8D are -6 and +4. Low cards, 2 though 6 are given the value of +1 and high cards such as 10s and aces are givenStand with 12 vs 2 at +3 or higher. The opposite is actually true. Your instincts are correct vis-a-vis moving to a true counted red7 and counting all sevens at half value, but I think you may have mis-computed your indexes, pivot and IRC. 10-31-2023, 09:34 AM in General Blackjack Forum. Long term, it works. Depending on the house rules, this hand is usually awarded 3:2 on the player’s bet. Pretty much been learning Card Counting as well as basic strategy but it has come to a point where I can recite and play near perfect Basic Strategy, 1 or 2 silly mistakes per shoe which should be ironed out very soon. Award winning casino practice software tools for beatable games: Blackjack card counting & shuffle tracking. Deck pen is around 65%. Many single-deck games are unplayable even with card counting when a blackjack only plays 6-5 (instead of 3-2), and when not very many rounds are dealt between shuffles (i. Zen Count. A soft 17 doubles vs. If you hit, you lose 545,000 out of 1,000,000. Twelve Blackjack calculators can be found below to answer various 'what if' questions. I wouldn’t recommend playing at this level of risk for long. 5. 12 vs 4: 0. Other basic strategy rules. 6 decks, dealer stands on soft 17, no hole card. I've added Illustrious12 deviations into all of it. Card counting versus basic strategy. Shuffle-tracking: An advantage play strategy for hand-shuffled games where you compose the decks for the next shoe, steering slugs of high-cards towards the front of the deck and betting big from the start. For example, if the first ten cards to come out of the shoe were 3, 5, K, 7, Q, A, 8, 5, 4, 2, then the running count would be 1 +1. 6 at a true count of 0 and above. All others count at face value. Eventually, the process of counting will be second nature. Blackjack strategy basic card perfect charts printable play chart table apprenticeship bja pdf comments wrong odds learn split stand s17Reading blackjack charts – strategies & guides Our simple blackjack strategy chartBlackjack strategy chart table basic odds winning printable casino deviations bet betting guide games hand. You are misreading the chart. face down. Casinos would eventually label me the “most notorious card counter in America. Cards 7, 8, 9 each count as 0. icio. Mike: “Uhhhh. Card counters beat blackjack by varying their bets and by changing our playing decisions when the count warrants it. But no one said that beating the casino was going to be easy! Memorising The Blackjack Chart. what cards the player has been dealt and what the dealer’s one face up card is. 5% (assuming a 0. A forced blackjack dealer switch is another favorite method the casino uses to stop card counting. 16 stands vs. Split 4s only if DAS is allowed and the dealer shows a 5 or 6. I am interested in learning an unbalanced counting system. 5. In this system, cards from 2 to 6 have a value of +0. That’s obviously good when the count is negative, but no. to confirm that your switching between one and two hands correlates almost. something. In this card counting method, all cards from 2 through 7 are assigned a +1 value, 8s and 9s are assigned a 0, and cards from 10 through ace are assigned a -1. With the Uston APC card counting system, it is a good idea to divide the running count by the half-decks remaining in play. It covers everything you need in order to. Ok. You can get as much practice as possible with these; you should see marked improvements in a short amount of time. By keeping a running. 40% House Edge Hourly EV: $20. Blackjack card counting software. There is no complete card counting system which furnishes an edge even remotely this high. However I'm looking for 8deck specific deviations for basic strategy. You gain about 0. For a double-deck game with a bet spread of 1-8 units, the SD is 3. The variations of the Illustrious 18 were designed to be used with the Hi-Lo card counting method, but some claim they are effective when applied across most card counting methods. First, it is true that you are more likely to get one small card and one big card in single-deck than multiple-deck. card counters) who want to practice certain deviations at a given count. The right two columns represent a dealer ace according to whether the. you use variance in your spread sheets column D . The true count is used in two ways, to determine how much to bet and how to play your hand. 7% of the time. Then we come to learn the blackjack strategy chart. Blackjack Deviations. But if you arent putting the big bets out when you should you are playing a losing game, wasting your time. Blackjack All-In-One Trainer has 3 modes; Play, Train and Simulate. The table below shows the calculation of insurance correlation coefficient for High – Low (Hi – Lo) system. The player is mentally keeping track of the ratio of high to low cards. The probability of an overall win in blackjack is 42. 40% House Edge Hourly EV: $31. At higher counts, we see that the most important 22 indexes supply most of the gain. Specifically, I'm practicing deviations for S17 shoe games, but it seems like if you really want to be versatile you need to learn at least H17 shoe games. A soft 19 doubles vs. Here I believe are the the most important in a moderate negative count. 48. Namely this one, the syntax is just confusing to me I suppose. The chart below provides you with an easy reference for how to count cards using different card counting systems. This is about what you would expect with any game of chance in a casino. Wizard gives Insurance bets 34%, double downs 9%, and Blackjacks coming 4th at 7%. There are huge risks to both over-betting and under-betting. The Uston Advanced Plus-Minus Blackjack Card Counting System. Drawing one card only has the worst expectation of -0. It will provide you with a 1- to 2-percent advantage in the long run. It’s better to start the count after the dealer has shuffled the deck and a new round begins. Here is a key for using this chart:Our simple, yet powerful, Card Counting Trainer iOS and Android app will teach you basic strategy, counting, true count conversion, deviations, and let you practice implementing a bet spread. Here is what I have so far. Basic strategy is the first word when there is a playing deviation in a white space. When the count is +2, you’ll bet $15. You need to surrender, if your hand is 14, the dealer's upcard is 10 and your true count is +4. Ten-value cards and aces are counted as -1. If you did everything 100% correctly with Blackjack Card Counting (perfect Basic Strategy, keeping track of the running count correctly always, and perfect deviations from Basic Strategy at the correct times), what would the house/player's edge be if you were to flat bet the entire time? I assume that doing such will improve the house edge. Membership; Private Training; Bootcamp;This video shows a deviation expectation table for a blackjack card counter. We designed the software that we wish we had to learn. Understanding Basic Card Counting: Before we delve into card counting deviations, it’s crucial to have a solid grasp of basic card counting principles. Zero count at end. When you’re playing at a table, you want to see a 4. As cards are revealed, keep adding or subtracting from the. 12 vs 3: +1. Losing is part of the game. This is for 6 Deck, H17, DAS except A's only one card, No Surrender, Double Any two cards. I have been looking at the Charts in Casino Verite and the paper by Ken Fuchs and Olaf Vancura called "A Study of Index Rounding In Card Counting," which I found in a book called "Finding the Edge: Mathematical Analysis of. ACCESS PREMIUM DRILLS. Try your hand at real money blackjack when you’re ready to hit the tables and test your deviations knowledge. Double Deck H17, DAS, Basic Strategy says to Split a 4,4 vs. Camouflage betting was designed to counteract one of the most serious mistakes made by blackjack professionals. The first step is to take a deck of cards and count through it, one at a time. 4 betting units every 400 hands 99. 81% for effect of removal of a non-ten card and -4. About this game. The indexes should be -1- and 0- by their definition. The features of this app are designed to allow you to easily learn to keep the running count and convert it to the true count based on the number of decks remaining in the shoe. You’re asking if you can beat blackjack with deviations alone, even with a perfect counting system that calculates the effect of removal per card removed. + Two Running Count Drills. Number cards (2-10) count as face value, Aces count as either 1 or 11, and Kings, Queens, and Jacks count as 10. I've been trying to develop a program written in python to calculate the true count in a game of blackjack and maximize my winnings. In the Zen system a positive running count (+2, +3, +4) demands a bet increase and a negative running count (-1, -2. Card counting in Blackjack is the only way to actually take advantage of the casino's house edge, and increase your odds of winning in the long run. . There are 128 (4x4x8) ten valued cards that could give you blackjack, but this time there are 415 total cards remaining. The Illustrious 18. They beat minimumon one hand, then when the count is good they beat every hand with maximum. This will help you in creating new associations with cards, essentially “learning the language” of card counting. You can see that there. If someone can help me that would be great ReplyThe KO System is one of the easiest card counting strategies to learn and use. Evolution of a Card Counter; Blackjack Versus Poker (Part 4) Blackjack Tips from the Silver Fox: Ralph Stricker; All Stressed Out – Handling a Bad Beat! Mastering the Art of Blackjack Card Counting Deviations; Skills and Education Credentials for Blackjack Dealers; The 25th Silver Anniversary of the Blackjack Ball; 10 Truths About Blackjack. To display the previous card, click on the left pile. This revelation was not only good for the players but also for the casinos as they experienced a rise in profit as more people came in to test their skills. 25 deck penetration, 1-20 min to max bet spread, DD after split, Split AA X4 Max, Early Surrender, BJ 3-2. The easiest one to learn is card counting. Skilled Play - Card Counting, Advanced Strategies. Your bet per hand is $100. But, there are other strategies, such as card counting, that you can play at the same time to cut this edge down to 0. Hi-Lo is a card counting system that assigns values to cards in the shoe depending on whether they help or hinder the player’s advantage. For that, you’ll need to learn to count cards and utilize. Table A-1 gives a total of 189 different. 2-4 weeks for betting deviations and deck estimation training. Please double check me. You need to surrender, if your hand is 15, the dealer's upcard is an Ace and your true count is +2 (in S17) or -1 (in H17). us. You stated in an earlier post that surrender makes 16 vs T even more valuable. And now a couple of my own thoughts on things said in this thread. Understand it. It’s a recommended strategy for beginners because all you have to do is assign a +1, -1 or 0 to each card that is dealt. The Zen Card Counting system first appeared in Arnold Snyder’s 1983 book “Blackbelt in Blackjack”. 63/6 to 5. However, Collin's app has no such variation in his strategy tables. To reach the last card of the deck, click the forward icon on the left. -As cards are being dealt in the game, you can see the number of cards in the shoe decrease. To display the next card, hit the pile of cards on the right. Unlike a 4- or 6-deck game, the running count, which is converted to the True Count (count per remaining deck) in a DD game can rise or fall quickly, but it’s gone almost as fast, due to the shuffle. BETTING SPREAD. 16: Basic strategy when dealer exposes both cards; 17: The Ace-Five card counting method; 18: Basic strategy exceptions for three to six cards; 19: Blackjack splitting strategy when a back-player is betting; 20: Blackjack doubling strategy when doubling after splitting aces is allowed; 21: Details on the Wizard’s Simple Strategy;. Start by assigning cards a value of either +1 (cards 2-6), 0 (cards 7-9), or -1 (cards 10-Ace). The lines after line 1 add layers to our model one by one (dense is the simplest layer type and is just a bunch of neurons) — the numbers like 16. If you get 21 points exactly on the deal, that is called a “blackjack. would it make sense if you had a simulation that gives the standard deviations at those corresponding true counts to figue the variance from those standard deviations and then plug those variance numbers into your spread sheet. TIP: There is an comprehensive section on Blackjack Deviations in our Card Counting Training. Card counters use this count to determine whether to hit or. a Dealer 5 at TC +4. a Dealer 6 at TC +2 and Double a Hard 8 vs. So, to learn a winning strategy you’re looking at a few months and a few hundred hours of practice to fully master it. That’s much easier than using a system like the Zen or Uston Advanced Count, where you’re assigning 3+ values, as well as keeping running. T, the Hyland, and the Church. Illustrious 18 betting deviations: About a month of consistent practice. You always want to start counting at the beginning of a shoe, starting with 0. It is a strategy which maximizes the player’s expectation given only knowledge of the player’s hand and the dealer’s up-card. Beating Blackjack isn't nearly as hard as the movies make it out to be, but it's not as. The range of an individual’s blackjack betting spread depends on a lot of personal factors such as comfort level and proficiency in card counting. Counting is possible, just need skill, luck and a bankroll. You can even double down a blackjack in some casinos. 4667. 🎓Blackjack Apprenticeship's "Blackjack & Card Counting Trainer Pro" is the best way to master card counting so you can bring down the house! Blackjack Apprenticeship trains card counters who have legally beaten casinos for millions with the same skills learned in this app!📚🏫. 33%, the insurance wager is a good bet. Seldom will a player with a 99. 5% advantage. Highly skilled players use these deviations because the composition of shoe changes along with the count. A complete blackjack card counting system designed to teach you how to beat the game of blackjack for big profits. T. Basic Strategy Deviation Chart. Colin has been counting cards for over 15 years, and ran a multi-million dollar blackjack team. And now, look at those same indexes shown in the traditional way (this is the same table shown earlier): 12 vs 2: +3. Briggs stratton serial grasshopper mowers locate decksCheck chart common Briggs and stratton 17. Blackjack Card Counting Trainer. You can buy any Blackjack book detailing your counting system. I want to try at a real casino and will play a single deck H17 game with no DAS and Double 9-11. Dec 24, 2010. Griffin’s numbers (“The Theory of Blackjack”) are 1. Games. Counting card deviations blackjack strategy basic worksheet count cards blackjack counting strategy cards basic card rules live dealer casino chart count tutorial play games playing charts strategies . The index listed is 2*. Please double check me. Use this information to calculate the count per deck. In this video, we explain exactly what the knockout card counting system in blackjack is and how you can and should use it. The KO System is one of the easiest card counting strategies to learn and use. How We Help. Bet the true count minus 1 betting unit. It’s a recommended strategy for beginners because all you have to do is assign a +1, -1 or 0 to each card that is dealt. The standard deviation of a simple game like roulette can be calculated using the binomial distribution. This means that the count at the end must equal zero. To display the previous card, click on the left pile. Sure, you’ll definitely be able to win more frequently, keep your money longer, and go on a few free vacations using casino comps, but you’ll never make money over thousands of hours of play. The reKO Blackjack Strategy (99. Blackjack illustrious 18 chartKnock blackjack catalog Blackjack forum index lot ebay right collectionBlackjack count ilustres. In "Play Blackjack Like the Pros" it says that when the true count is above plus 3 you should take insurance. . 8 from Double to Hit 11 vs. The chance of a loss is 49. Once again, the closer to 100 the better. and what are they? Colin answers all. Using blackjack deviations can be useful to both the online and live blackjack player, although we must concede that deviations are usually more profitable when used live. This is valuable advice. In addition it offers a basic counting method called KISS (Keep it simple stupid. In these establishments, you can only double down if. Settings: Surrender, Double after split, Pair hands, Soft hands, Hard hands, 2-3-4 card hands, Feedback for mistakes only, Hide Gauges. I've started to play BJ online a few months ago. View Profile View Forum Posts. There are five steps to learning the basics of counting cards: Assigning Card Value. I’ll try the Mini-Course for now. I am a newcomer to the card counting world and while I understand the plays and the theory behind deviations from BS, I do not understand what deviation to make. This may seem a little bit intimidating for the card counter, but with a little practice assigning the different values to the 7’s will become second nature. Moraine Mono is known to be a card. The method of dealing cards so that the first two cards are seen only by the player controlling the hand. This ensures that you aren't just counting the number of high cards—you're also considering the concentration of these cards compared to the low card concentration. Most of the time when playing blackjack, your results will vary widely, from large losses to large wins.